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Syria may turn into a Somalia, envoy says


February 19. 2013 4:02PM
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BEIRUT — The U.N.-Arab League envoy for Syria warned Tuesday that the country could become another Somalia — where al-Qaida-linked militants and warlords battled for decades after the ouster of a dictator — if the civil war is not ended soon.


Battles between regime forces and Syrian rebels left more than 140 people dead across Syria on Tuesday, while the brother of Syria's parliament speaker was gunned down in Damascus — the latest victim of assassinations targeting high-ranking supporters of President Bashar Assad's regime.


The violence aroused new concern about the faltering diplomatic efforts to try to end the conflict, with the U.N. political chief warning that the Syria crisis risks exploding outward into Lebanon, Turkey and Israel.


Britain's prime minister offered the latest long shot — that Assad could be allowed safe passage out of the country if that would guarantee an end to the fighting.


But there has been no sign the embattled Syrian leader is willing to step down as part of a peaceful transition to save the country.


U.N.-Arab League envoy Lakhdar Brahimi warned the civil war could spiral into new levels of chaos.


The situation in Syria is very dangerous, Brahimi said in remarks published Tuesday in the pan-Arab daily Al Hayat. I believe that if the crisis is not solved ... there will be the danger of Somalization. It will mean the fall of the state, rise of warlords and militias.


Somalia has been mired in conflict for more than two decades after warlords overthrew the east African nation's longtime dictator in 1991 and then turned on each other. The government, backed by African Union troops, is currently battling Islamist extremist rebels linked to al-Qaida.


Syria, by comparison, has a strong central government, and despite losing large swathes of territory, the regime maintains a grip on many parts of the country, including the capital Damascus, where basic government services still function.


But if the regime collapses, the country could quickly shatter along multiple fault lines, leading to protracted bloodshed.




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