Record-setting tight end Tyler Warren (44) and Penn State checked in at No. 6 in the first College Football Playoff committee rankings of the season on Tuesday.
Barry Reeger | AP photo
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Penn State’s disappointment from another loss to Ohio State hasn’t hurt the Nittany Lions much in the College Football Playoff race.
The CFP committee still thinks highly of the 7-1 Lions, placing them sixth in the first rankings of the 2024 season.
That No. 6 placement would translate to the No. 7 seed in the 12-team bracket, giving Penn State an all-important home game for the first round in the weekend before Christmas.
Penn State’s opponent with this exact set of rankings? No. 10 Notre Dame, with the winner advancing to face No. 2 Georgia in the quarterfinals.
But there’s still a month’s worth of football to be played. The positive news for the Lions is that they will likely be favored to win their final four games — hosting Washington (5-4) for the White Out on Saturday night before road trips to Purdue (1-7) and Minnesota (6-3), closing out at home against Maryland (4-4).
Win all four and the Lions will be making use of that recent winterization of Beaver Stadium to be able to host a game on either Dec. 20 or Dec. 21.
Some eyebrows were raised that Penn State was ranked sixth by the committee while undefeated Indiana, with a similar resume and a 9-0 record, was ranked ninth. Penn State was also ahead of another one-loss team in Tennessee.
CFP committee chairman Warde Manuel, the athletic director at Michigan, was asked to go into detail about the Lions’ ranking.
“Penn State lost to the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes,” Manuel said. “It was a game that went back and forth, and obviously a game that could have gone the other way. It was back and forth. And so, they have wins over Illinois, and Southern Cal in overtime, opening win at West Virginia, which is difficult to play. So, we look at their body of work.
“… Looking at the resume, looking at what we’ve seen, the offensive performance, their tight end, Tyler Warren, is a dominating force on offense. And so, I just think Penn State, in terms of their body of work, and what the committee saw in terms of their body of work, that came to the ranking of Penn State at six and Tennessee at seven.”
NATIONAL OUTLOOK
(AP) — A season full of surprises didn’t produce many when the first set of rankings on the road to college football’s new 12-team playoff came out Tuesday.
Undefeated Oregon got top billing. The selection committee liked Ohio State just a touch more than Georgia in its top 25 — the first of six weekly polls the committee will put out.
Other than that, the panel’s top 12 looked exactly like the top dozen in the most recent AP poll, which has been shaken up almost weekly thanks to a bundle of upsets that left the mighty SEC, of all conferences, without a single undefeated team.
The near mirror image of AP and the College Football Playoff polls meant Alabama, despite its two losses, would be in the bracket at No. 11 if it came out this week, as would Boise State, the leader of the Mountain West Conference, which came in at No. 12 and would earn an automatic spot as the fifth-best conference champion.
“The summary is, Boise State is an impressive team,” Manuel said.
Maunel explained Ohio State was ranked No. 2 because its only loss came by one point to Oregon. Both the Buckeyes and third-ranked Bulldogs were rated ahead of undefeated Miami most likely thanks to strength of schedules that were much tougher than that of the ‘Canes, who were ranked fourth.
“We’re splitting hairs as far as looking at two great teams,” Manuel said.
The rankings will come out each week through Dec. 8, when the final list will decide the bracket for the playoffs. Those start Dec. 20-21, with the 5-12 seeds in action at the better seed’s home field, and close with the national title game in Atlanta on Jan. 20.
The rankings don’t directly correlate to where the teams would fall in the bracket. The four best-ranked conference champions receive first-round byes, which according to this ranking would belong to Oregon (ranked 1), Georgia (3), Miami (4) and BYU (9).
The committee chose Alabama over a handful of one-loss teams, but the Tide’s strength of schedule clearly helped them leap over teams like No. 13 SMU (ACC), No. 17 Iowa State (Big 12) and No. 18 Pitt (ACC), who play in weaker conferences.
The rest of the teams in the fictional first-week bracket and their rankings: No. 5 Texas, No. 6 Penn State, No. 7 Tennessee, No. 8 Indiana and No. 10 Notre Dame.
First team out was No. 13 SMU while Army, with an 8-0 record and leading the American Athletic Conference, barely squeaked into the rankings at No. 25.
What first-round matchups would look like based on this week’s rankings
ESPN is paying billions to televise these games, so it got exclusive rights to the bracket reveal, filling the show with analysis and lots of references to “America finally finding out” — a nod to the opening rankings being released on election night. The network chose to fill in the bracket as it went along, which made things a little confusing — a second-ranked team really seeded third, and so-on. But here’s what those first-round games would be (with seedings, not rankings):
• No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State: Would be the Broncos biggest postseason game since beating Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl.
• No. 11 Alabama at No. 5 Texas: Longhorns win over ‘Bama in 2023 punctured myth of Tide invincibility.
• No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 Penn State: Feels like we need Keith Jackson for this one. Anyone remember the 1992 Snow Bowl?
• No. 9 Indiana at No. 8 Tennessee: Hoosiers entry to the big-time (football) would come in front of 100,000 on Rocky Top.
What will change after this week?
LSU is ranked 15 and hosts Alabama on Saturday in what feels like an elimination game for the loser.
Also this week, Georgia plays at No. 17 Ole Miss; the Rebels two losses have both come by a field goal — to Kentucky and LSU.
Indiana hosts Michigan and is favored by 12 1/2, barreling toward a Nov. 23 matchup against Ohio State.